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Special Report: There Is No Baptism Like Momentum

Everything that happens once can never happen again. But everything that happens twice will surely happen a third time. -Paulo Coelho This Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) chart shows a...

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Tesla's Technical Mechanics

Every bull run has its iconic story stock. Since the second quarter Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has been the epicenter of sentiment.   Yesterday Tesla broke sharply to its 20-day moving average which has been...

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The Potbelly IPO Could Leave You with Indigestion

I was tempted to go with a headline along the order of ‘Potbelly (NASDAQ:PBPB) Flop’ but that would not accurately reflect my skepticism regarding the sandwich maker’s initial public offering...

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A Setup for Massive Failure?

The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) at 1657 is 90 degrees square the big October 4 anniversary pivot. This is the anniversary of the October 4 2011 low 720 degrees ago in time. In addition early October is...

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A Shot Over the Bow of the USS 'Buy the Dip'

On the eighth day of October and the eighth day of the government shutdown a straw broke the back of the momentum camel. Momentum stocks met the other side of the sword.   The fat lady has been...

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Options for Earnings: Understanding Pricing Mechanics

The past few weeks has seen a significant increase in market volatility. Expect it to continue as the incoming  wave of quarterly earnings reports begins to wash across the tape just as the debt...

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Costco: Anatomy of a Winning Options Trade

A recent trade in Costco (NASDAQ:COST) for the OptionSmith portfolio provides us with the opportunity to look into the thought process that goes into initiating and closing out an options position....

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A Look at eBay and Google

Last week we took at look at how options get priced prior to and after earnings reports.   Now let’s see if we can apply these concepts to specific situations.  Ebay (EBAY) is set to report after the...

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'Crisis Averted'

W.D. Gann the legendary market player was a believer that not only did price have memory but that so did time -- that the market vibrated off and respected historic highs and lows.   This past October...

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A Chip Off the Old Block: Netflix and the Law of Vibration in Action

The market turns on a dime but most traders cannot.   Did something fundamentally change in Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) the company yesterday? No but something surely changed in Netflix the stock.   On...

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Decked by Deckers

After yesterday’s close I slapped a post-it on my screen with the words “earnings” and a ghostbuster circle slash through it. This was my initial action after watching Deckers Outdoor (NASDAQ:DECK)...

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Is Tesla Forming a Head and Shoulders Pattern?

This morning Elon Musk took a page from Reed Hasting’s book (see piece on Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) from Wednesday here).   See Musk comments from this morning here.   Perhaps Elon is as good a technician...

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Rational Euphoria?: Current Sentiment Towards the S&P 500 Rhymes With...

A wise man once said to me “Any fool can believe the truth. It takes a genius to believe a palpable lie.”   Often times it takes belief in a "lie" to ride a trend that one intellectually disagrees...

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Is Tesla's Speed Bump Another Red Flag for the Glamour Stocks?

First came Google's (NASDAQ:GOOG) $100 plus rip to 1 000 off earnings which set the table for the Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX) earnings Spike & Reversal courtesy of Carl.   Yesterday after the bell...

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Apple Is Not Properly Discounting Much Stronger iPad Air Sales

One slight chink in even the most ardent bull theses on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) (including mine) has been accepting lower iPad sales and just thinking that the iPad will still be great but become more of a...

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Is This the Top of the Pops For the S&P 500?

In a transaction involving two people there is usually one sucker but quite often two. -Nassim Taleb There’s a sucker born every minute. -David Hannum (P.T. Barnum’s rival) You can fool all the people...

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Twitter Options: 140 Ways to Play

Exchange traded-options on Tweeter (NASDAQ:TWTR) began trading today one week after its successful initial public offering.  Let’s run down what’s available in terms of expiration and strikes and then...

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Amazon, Apple, and Google Celebrate This Anniversary Tomorrow

Tomorrow is the anniversary of the crash low on November 21 2008.   This was when many key stocks like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) made lows. Many foreign markets...

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Are Apple and Amazon Telegraphing a Market Inflection Point?

Two of the bulls' darlings Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) scored lows in late November 2008 ahead of the market's March 2009 price low. Is it possible that both stocks having satisfied...

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Stock Replacement Strategy: Reduce Risk, Maintain Upside

Whether you are a proponent of the Federal Reserve's unprecedented monetary policies there is no denying it has driven equity prices higher. The S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) is up 170% since the...

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